WATCH Kumagai Gumi Co.,Ltd. (1861.T)
Industrials · Engineering & Construction · JPX · Japan
44
Final Score
-257.6%
Margin of Safety
58
Quality Score
¥1,306
Current Price
¥221.9B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
11.17
Forward Pe
3.48
Pb Ratio
1.21
Ev Ebitda
7.17
Roe
11.3%
Gross Margin
11.3%
Operating Margin
2.9%
Net Margin
4.2%
Dividend Yield
387.0%
Debt To Equity
31.47
Current Ratio
1.67
Beta
0.25
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
¥292
Base
¥365
High
¥438
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
11.17
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
3.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.31
Current Ratio
1.67
Dilution Cagr
-0.01
Stage B — Quality Score: 58/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: HIGH
Normalized EPS
¥66.09
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 14.6 |
| Balance Sheet | 16.0 |
| Stability | 4.5 |
| Moat Proxies | 6.2 |
Top Drivers
- Reasonable P/E of 11.2x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Conservative leverage: D/E ratio of 0.31x is well within Graham's maximum of 1.0x, reducing insolvency risk.
Top Risks
- Cyclical business at potentially peak earnings — if the cycle turns, earnings could drop significantly and the stock may become much less cheap than it appears today.
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ¥N/A |
| 2023 | ¥403.5B | ¥33.2B | ¥11.5B | ¥8.0B | ¥44.91 |
| 2024 | ¥443.2B | ¥36.1B | ¥12.7B | ¥8.3B | ¥48.09 |
| 2025 | ¥498.6B | ¥38.3B | ¥14.3B | ¥9.4B | ¥54.43 |
| 2026 | ¥487.7B | ¥53.2B | ¥27.1B | ¥20.1B | ¥116.94 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | ¥-18.8B | ¥-4.3B | ¥-23.2B |
| 2024 | ¥17.0B | ¥-2.2B | ¥14.7B |
| 2025 | ¥8.2B | ¥-4.1B | ¥4.2B |
| 2026 | ¥25.0B | ¥-4.7B | ¥20.3B |