WATCH Sumitomo Forestry Co., Ltd. (1911.T)
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · JPX · Japan
48
Final Score
-41.0%
Margin of Safety
56
Quality Score
¥1,340
Current Price
¥821.7B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
9.74
Forward Pe
2.14
Pb Ratio
0.66
Ev Ebitda
6.22
Roe
13.0%
Gross Margin
22.7%
Operating Margin
6.6%
Net Margin
3.1%
Dividend Yield
372.0%
Debt To Equity
75.84
Current Ratio
1.78
Beta
0.99
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
¥760
Base
¥950
High
¥1,140
⚠️ Value Trap Flags
- 🚩 {'flag': 'DEBT_OUTPACING_INCOME', 'severity': 'MED', 'evidence': 'Net debt growth (171.9%) outpacing operating income growth (6.6%)'}
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
9.74
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
3.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.76
Current Ratio
1.78
Dilution Cagr
0.01
Stage B — Quality Score: 56/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: LOW
Normalized EPS
¥150.06
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 14.1 |
| Balance Sheet | 13.0 |
| Stability | 12.0 |
| Moat Proxies | 5.6 |
Top Drivers
- Low P/E of 9.7x — classic Graham deep-value territory. The market is pricing in pessimism, yet the business continues to generate positive earnings.
- Conservative leverage: D/E ratio of 0.76x is well within Graham's maximum of 1.0x, reducing insolvency risk.
- Low cyclicality: earnings are relatively stable and predictable, making intrinsic value estimates more reliable.
Top Risks
- ⚠️ [MED] Leverage risk: Net debt growth (171.9%) outpacing operating income growth (6.6%). Growing debt with stagnant income can lead to financial distress.
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | ¥1.7T | ¥393.0B | ¥158.3B | ¥108.7B | ¥177.00 |
| 2023 | ¥1.7T | ¥408.8B | ¥146.3B | ¥102.2B | ¥166.31 |
| 2024 | ¥2.1T | ¥503.0B | ¥194.6B | ¥116.5B | ¥82.88 |
| 2025 | ¥2.3T | ¥524.6B | ¥168.7B | ¥106.7B | ¥174.07 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | ¥55.3B | ¥-36.7B | ¥18.6B |
| 2023 | ¥125.3B | ¥-32.9B | ¥92.4B |
| 2024 | ¥27.1B | ¥-69.4B | ¥-42.4B |
| 2025 | ¥94.7B | ¥-76.8B | ¥17.9B |