WATCH DCM Holdings Co., Ltd. (3050.T)
Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail · JPX · Japan
45
Final Score
-19.3%
Margin of Safety
48
Quality Score
¥1,591
Current Price
¥217.4B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
12.53
Forward Pe
10.90
Pb Ratio
0.76
Ev Ebitda
8.35
Roe
6.5%
Gross Margin
35.4%
Operating Margin
7.5%
Net Margin
3.2%
Dividend Yield
301.0%
Debt To Equity
88.27
Current Ratio
1.54
Beta
0.12
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
¥1,067
Base
¥1,334
High
¥1,601
⚠️ Value Trap Flags
- 🚩 {'flag': 'DEBT_OUTPACING_INCOME', 'severity': 'MED', 'evidence': 'Net debt growth (33.5%) outpacing operating income growth (3.1%)'}
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
12.53
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
4.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.88
Current Ratio
1.54
Dilution Cagr
-0.00
Stage B — Quality Score: 48/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: LOW
Normalized EPS
¥134.89
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 12.1 |
| Balance Sheet | 13.0 |
| Stability | 12.0 |
| Moat Proxies | 4.8 |
Top Drivers
- Reasonable P/E of 12.5x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Conservative leverage: D/E ratio of 0.88x is well within Graham's maximum of 1.0x, reducing insolvency risk.
- Low cyclicality: earnings are relatively stable and predictable, making intrinsic value estimates more reliable.
Top Risks
- ⚠️ [MED] Leverage risk: Net debt growth (33.5%) outpacing operating income growth (3.1%). Growing debt with stagnant income can lead to financial distress.
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ¥476.8B | ¥163.3B | ¥30.1B | ¥18.1B | ¥125.03 |
| 2024 | ¥488.6B | ¥167.6B | ¥28.7B | ¥21.4B | ¥159.49 |
| 2025 | ¥544.6B | ¥191.1B | ¥33.2B | ¥17.1B | ¥128.01 |
| 2026 | ¥542.3B | ¥192.3B | ¥31.0B | ¥17.3B | ¥127.02 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | ¥15.6B | ¥-13.7B | ¥2.0B |
| 2024 | ¥32.1B | ¥-12.0B | ¥20.1B |
| 2025 | ¥36.5B | ¥-16.4B | ¥20.1B |
| 2026 | ¥36.5B | ¥-15.1B | ¥21.5B |