WATCH ENEOS Holdings, Inc. (5020.T)
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · JPX · Japan
39
Final Score
-84.8%
Margin of Safety
55
Quality Score
¥1,389
Current Price
¥3.7T
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
14.47
Forward Pe
13.96
Pb Ratio
0.99
Ev Ebitda
5.36
Roe
19.5%
Gross Margin
13.7%
Operating Margin
13.1%
Net Margin
5.6%
Dividend Yield
254.0%
Debt To Equity
57.78
Current Ratio
1.65
Beta
0.29
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
¥601
Base
¥752
High
¥902
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
14.47
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
3.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.58
Current Ratio
1.65
Dilution Cagr
-0.04
Stage B — Quality Score: 55/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: HIGH
Normalized EPS
¥79.43
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 13.7 |
| Balance Sheet | 13.0 |
| Stability | 4.5 |
| Moat Proxies | 5.0 |
Top Drivers
- Reasonable P/E of 14.5x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Conservative leverage: D/E ratio of 0.58x is well within Graham's maximum of 1.0x, reducing insolvency risk.
Top Risks
- Cyclical business at potentially peak earnings — if the cycle turns, earnings could drop significantly and the stock may become much less cheap than it appears today.
- Quality concern: Revenue declining: -7.8% CAGR
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ¥15.0T | ¥1.2T | ¥206.4B | ¥143.8B | ¥46.47 |
| 2024 | ¥12.3T | ¥1.2T | ¥351.9B | ¥288.1B | ¥95.44 |
| 2025 | ¥12.3T | ¥1.1T | ¥96.5B | ¥226.1B | ¥79.81 |
| 2026 | ¥11.8T | ¥1.2T | ¥385.6B | ¥258.7B | ¥96.00 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ¥-110.2B | ¥-318.7B | ¥-429.0B |
| 2024 | ¥1.0T | ¥-328.4B | ¥681.9B |
| 2025 | ¥576.8B | ¥-303.4B | ¥273.5B |
| 2026 | ¥620.0B | ¥-256.3B | ¥363.7B |