WATCH Nishikawa Rubber Co., Ltd. (5161.T)
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts · JPX · Japan
50
Final Score
-180.0%
Margin of Safety
69
Quality Score
¥3,800
Current Price
¥137.8B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
12.94
Pb Ratio
1.58
Ev Ebitda
7.50
Roe
13.9%
Gross Margin
19.6%
Operating Margin
7.3%
Net Margin
9.3%
Dividend Yield
491.0%
Debt To Equity
28.00
Current Ratio
2.28
Beta
0.84
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
¥1,086
Base
¥1,357
High
¥1,629
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
12.94
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
3.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.28
Current Ratio
2.28
Dilution Cagr
-0.02
Stage B — Quality Score: 69/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: HIGH
Normalized EPS
¥139.36
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 17.2 |
| Balance Sheet | 18.0 |
| Stability | 4.5 |
| Moat Proxies | 7.5 |
Top Drivers
- Adequate quality (score 69/100): meets minimum quality thresholds for the Graham-Buffett framework.
- Reasonable P/E of 12.9x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Solid ROIC of 12.1% — above the 12% threshold, indicating the business creates genuine economic value for shareholders.
- Fortress balance sheet: D/E of 0.28x (conservative) and current ratio of 2.28x — ample liquidity and low financial risk. Graham emphasis on capital preservation.
Top Risks
- Cyclical business at potentially peak earnings — if the cycle turns, earnings could drop significantly and the stock may become much less cheap than it appears today.
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ¥98.2B | ¥11.2B | ¥-99.0M | ¥1.2B | ¥30.40 |
| 2024 | ¥117.9B | ¥18.7B | ¥6.6B | ¥5.0B | ¥130.73 |
| 2025 | ¥120.6B | ¥21.4B | ¥7.3B | ¥4.0B | ¥102.49 |
| 2026 | ¥122.1B | ¥23.4B | ¥9.1B | ¥11.0B | ¥293.81 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | ¥5.2B | ¥-5.4B | ¥-173.0M |
| 2024 | ¥14.9B | ¥-4.6B | ¥10.3B |
| 2025 | ¥9.2B | ¥-3.9B | ¥5.4B |
| 2026 | ¥12.2B | ¥-5.5B | ¥6.7B |