WATCH Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. (5713.T)
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · JPX · Japan
44
Final Score
-273.9%
Margin of Safety
46
Quality Score
¥9,328
Current Price
¥2.5T
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
14.35
Forward Pe
22.94
Pb Ratio
1.18
Ev Ebitda
10.69
Roe
11.7%
Gross Margin
18.4%
Operating Margin
16.4%
Net Margin
12.4%
Dividend Yield
214.0%
Debt To Equity
30.34
Current Ratio
1.65
Beta
1.32
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
¥1,996
Base
¥2,495
High
¥2,994
⚠️ Value Trap Flags
- 🚩 {'flag': 'DEBT_OUTPACING_INCOME', 'severity': 'MED', 'evidence': 'Net debt growth (125.8%) outpacing operating income growth (2.7%)'}
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
14.35
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
3.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.30
Current Ratio
1.65
Dilution Cagr
-0.01
Stage B — Quality Score: 46/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: MED
Normalized EPS
¥376.81
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 11.6 |
| Balance Sheet | 16.0 |
| Stability | 8.2 |
| Moat Proxies | 4.8 |
Top Drivers
- Reasonable P/E of 14.4x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Conservative leverage: D/E ratio of 0.30x is well within Graham's maximum of 1.0x, reducing insolvency risk.
Top Risks
- ⚠️ [MED] Leverage risk: Net debt growth (125.8%) outpacing operating income growth (2.7%). Growing debt with stagnant income can lead to financial distress.
- Moderate cyclicality (Operating margin stddev: 6.2%; Cyclical sector: Basic Materials) — earnings may fluctuate.
- Quality concern: Operating margin in structural decline
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ¥1.4T | ¥250.1B | ¥186.1B | ¥160.6B | ¥584.44 |
| 2024 | ¥1.4T | ¥166.1B | ¥98.5B | ¥58.6B | ¥213.28 |
| 2025 | ¥1.6T | ¥58.5B | ¥-15.9B | ¥16.5B | ¥59.99 |
| 2026 | ¥1.7T | ¥274.5B | ¥191.2B | ¥176.3B | ¥649.53 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | ¥120.4B | ¥-130.9B | ¥-10.5B |
| 2024 | ¥210.7B | ¥-128.1B | ¥82.6B |
| 2025 | ¥149.6B | ¥-122.2B | ¥27.5B |
| 2026 | ¥101.8B | ¥-85.6B | ¥16.2B |