WATCH Toyo Seikan Group Holdings, Ltd. (5901.T)
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · JPX · Japan
43
Final Score
-598.9%
Margin of Safety
50
Quality Score
¥4,570
Current Price
¥688.2B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
12.64
Forward Pe
-43.73
Pb Ratio
0.97
Ev Ebitda
7.17
Roe
7.8%
Gross Margin
14.8%
Operating Margin
7.6%
Net Margin
5.4%
Dividend Yield
413.0%
Debt To Equity
28.11
Current Ratio
2.01
Beta
-0.08
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
¥523
Base
¥654
High
¥785
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
12.64
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
3.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.28
Current Ratio
2.01
Dilution Cagr
-0.06
Stage B — Quality Score: 50/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: HIGH
Normalized EPS
¥170.72
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 12.5 |
| Balance Sheet | 18.0 |
| Stability | 4.5 |
| Moat Proxies | 5.0 |
Top Drivers
- Reasonable P/E of 12.6x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Fortress balance sheet: D/E of 0.28x (conservative) and current ratio of 2.01x — ample liquidity and low financial risk. Graham emphasis on capital preservation.
Top Risks
- Cyclical business at potentially peak earnings — if the cycle turns, earnings could drop significantly and the stock may become much less cheap than it appears today.
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | ¥906.0B | ¥86.5B | ¥7.4B | ¥10.4B | ¥57.07 |
| 2024 | ¥950.7B | ¥118.7B | ¥33.9B | ¥23.1B | ¥130.15 |
| 2025 | ¥922.5B | ¥122.5B | ¥34.3B | ¥22.5B | ¥134.05 |
| 2026 | ¥963.2B | ¥140.5B | ¥52.0B | ¥55.0B | ¥361.63 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | ¥-18.9B | ¥-64.0B | ¥-82.8B |
| 2024 | ¥64.6B | ¥-53.8B | ¥10.7B |
| 2025 | ¥94.1B | ¥-48.6B | ¥45.5B |
| 2026 | ¥89.0B | ¥-56.4B | ¥32.6B |