WATCH Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)
Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories · NYQ · United States
64
Final Score
-34.7%
Margin of Safety
89
Quality Score
$84.54
Current Price
$11.5B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
12.03
Forward Pe
10.11
Pb Ratio
5.02
Ev Ebitda
8.10
Roe
42.6%
Gross Margin
57.8%
Operating Margin
15.2%
Net Margin
18.4%
Debt To Equity
20.52
Current Ratio
2.75
Beta
1.17
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
$50.20
Base
$62.75
High
$75.30
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
12.03
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
4.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.21
Current Ratio
2.75
Dilution Cagr
-0.04
Stage B — Quality Score: 89/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: LOW
Normalized EPS
$5.36
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 22.2 |
| Balance Sheet | 18.0 |
| Stability | 12.0 |
| Moat Proxies | 9.0 |
Top Drivers
- Exceptional business quality (score 89/100): consistent profitability, strong returns on capital, and stable margins — hallmarks of a Buffett-style competitive moat.
- Reasonable P/E of 12.0x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- High ROIC of 100.8% — the business earns well above its cost of capital, indicating a strong competitive advantage and efficient capital allocation (Buffett seeks ROIC > 12%).
- Fortress balance sheet: D/E of 0.21x (conservative) and current ratio of 2.75x — ample liquidity and low financial risk. Graham emphasis on capital preservation.
- Strong free cash flow generation — the company converts earnings into real cash effectively, supporting dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction.
Top Risks
- No significant risks identified in this analysis.
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $3.6B | $1.8B | $652.8M | $516.8M | $3.23 |
| 2024 | $4.3B | $2.4B | $927.5M | $759.6M | $4.86 |
| 2025 | $5.0B | $2.9B | $1.2B | $966.1M | $6.33 |
| 2026 | $5.5B | $3.2B | $1.3B | $1.0B | $7.02 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2023 | $537.4M | $-81.0M | $456.4M |
| 2024 | $1.0B | $-89.4M | $943.8M |
| 2025 | $1.0B | $-86.2M | $958.4M |
| 2026 | $1.2B | $-84.6M | $1.1B |