WATCH HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO)
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · NYQ · United States
56
Final Score
21.7%
Margin of Safety
41
Quality Score
$66.64
Current Price
$12.0B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
10.01
Forward Pe
8.85
Pb Ratio
1.25
Ev Ebitda
6.37
Roe
13.0%
Gross Margin
11.1%
Operating Margin
11.9%
Net Margin
4.5%
Dividend Yield
297.0%
Debt To Equity
34.67
Current Ratio
1.79
Beta
0.71
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
$68.05
Base
$85.06
High
$102.07
⚠️ Value Trap Flags
- 🚩 {'flag': 'DEBT_OUTPACING_INCOME', 'severity': 'MED', 'evidence': 'Net debt growth (12.6%) outpacing operating income growth (-77.1%)'}
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
10.01
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
4.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.35
Current Ratio
1.79
Dilution Cagr
-0.03
Stage B — Quality Score: 41/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: MED
Normalized EPS
$6.64
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 16.5 |
| Earnings Quality | 10.2 |
| Balance Sheet | 16.0 |
| Stability | 8.2 |
| Moat Proxies | 5.3 |
Top Drivers
- Modest discount: 22% margin of safety (price $66.64 vs intrinsic $85.06).
- Reasonable P/E of 10.0x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Conservative leverage: D/E ratio of 0.35x is well within Graham's maximum of 1.0x, reducing insolvency risk.
Top Risks
- ⚠️ [MED] Leverage risk: Net debt growth (12.6%) outpacing operating income growth (-77.1%). Growing debt with stagnant income can lead to financial distress.
- Moderate cyclicality (Cyclical sector: Energy) — earnings may fluctuate.
- Quality concern: Operating margin in structural decline
- Quality concern: Revenue declining: -11.1% CAGR
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | $N/A |
| 2022 | $38.2B | $4.5B | $4.1B | $2.9B | $14.28 |
| 2023 | $32.0B | $2.7B | $2.2B | $1.6B | $8.29 |
| 2024 | $28.6B | $725.0M | $261.0M | $177.0M | $0.91 |
| 2025 | $26.9B | $1.4B | $927.0M | $579.0M | $3.08 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | $3.8B | $-524.0M | $3.3B |
| 2023 | $2.3B | $-385.0M | $1.9B |
| 2024 | $1.1B | $-470.0M | $640.0M |
| 2025 | $1.3B | $-521.0M | $794.0M |