WATCH Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC)
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · NYQ · United States
60
Final Score
13.5%
Margin of Safety
51
Quality Score
$71.98
Current Price
$6.6B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
10.73
Forward Pe
11.21
Pb Ratio
1.09
Ev Ebitda
8.04
Roe
11.1%
Gross Margin
22.6%
Operating Margin
11.1%
Net Margin
8.8%
Debt To Equity
38.65
Current Ratio
9.26
Beta
1.48
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
$66.55
Base
$83.19
High
$99.83
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
10.73
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
4.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.39
Current Ratio
9.26
Dilution Cagr
-0.04
Stage B — Quality Score: 51/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: LOW
Normalized EPS
$8.02
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 10.5 |
| Earnings Quality | 12.7 |
| Balance Sheet | 18.0 |
| Stability | 12.0 |
| Moat Proxies | 6.3 |
Top Drivers
- Modest discount: 13% margin of safety (price $71.98 vs intrinsic $83.19).
- Reasonable P/E of 10.7x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Fortress balance sheet: D/E of 0.39x (conservative) and current ratio of 9.26x — ample liquidity and low financial risk. Graham emphasis on capital preservation.
- Low cyclicality: earnings are relatively stable and predictable, making intrinsic value estimates more reliable.
Top Risks
- Quality concern: Operating margin in structural decline
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | $N/A |
| 2022 | $8.2B | $2.1B | $1.4B | $1.1B | $9.06 |
| 2023 | $7.4B | $1.8B | $1.1B | $768.9M | $6.98 |
| 2024 | $8.2B | $2.0B | $1.2B | $883.3M | $8.27 |
| 2025 | $8.1B | $1.9B | $1.1B | $782.5M | $7.77 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | $1.1B | $-30.6M | $1.1B |
| 2023 | $806.2M | $-33.4M | $772.7M |
| 2024 | $210.1M | $-36.3M | $173.7M |
| 2025 | $817.3M | $-40.4M | $777.0M |