WATCH Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL)
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction · NYQ · United States
58
Final Score
-10.2%
Margin of Safety
70
Quality Score
$140.21
Current Price
$12.9B
Market Cap
Key Metrics
Pe Ratio
11.30
Forward Pe
9.96
Pb Ratio
1.52
Ev Ebitda
8.97
Roe
14.4%
Gross Margin
24.8%
Operating Margin
14.6%
Net Margin
11.1%
Dividend Yield
72.0%
Debt To Equity
34.10
Current Ratio
4.50
Beta
1.34
📈 Trend Charts
Revenue Trend
EPS Trend
Net Income Trend
Free Cash Flow Trend
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Low
$101.83
Base
$127.29
High
$152.75
Pipeline Stage Details
Stage A — Hard Filters ✅
Pe Ratio
11.30
Eps Positive Years
4.00
Eps Lookback
4.00
Fcf Positive Years
4.00
Fcf Lookback
4.00
Debt To Equity
0.34
Current Ratio
4.50
Dilution Cagr
-0.05
Stage B — Quality Score: 70/100
Stage C — Cyclicality: LOW
Normalized EPS
$12.94
Stage F — Final Score Breakdown
| Component | Weighted Score |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3.0 |
| Earnings Quality | 17.6 |
| Balance Sheet | 18.0 |
| Stability | 12.0 |
| Moat Proxies | 7.8 |
Top Drivers
- High quality business (score 70/100): above-average returns on capital and reliable earnings generation.
- Reasonable P/E of 11.3x — below long-run market average (~15-17x), suggesting the stock is not overpriced.
- Solid ROIC of 13.0% — above the 12% threshold, indicating the business creates genuine economic value for shareholders.
- Fortress balance sheet: D/E of 0.34x (conservative) and current ratio of 4.50x — ample liquidity and low financial risk. Graham emphasis on capital preservation.
- Low cyclicality: earnings are relatively stable and predictable, making intrinsic value estimates more reliable.
Top Risks
- No significant risks identified in this analysis.
Financial History
| Year | Revenue | Gross Profit | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | $N/A |
| 2022 | $10.3B | $2.5B | $1.5B | $1.3B | $10.90 |
| 2023 | $10.0B | $2.6B | $1.7B | $1.4B | $12.36 |
| 2024 | $10.8B | $3.0B | $2.0B | $1.6B | $15.01 |
| 2025 | $11.0B | $2.8B | $1.7B | $1.3B | $13.49 |
Cash Flow History
| Year | Operating CF | CapEx | Free Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2022 | $986.8M | $-71.7M | $915.1M |
| 2023 | $1.3B | $-73.0M | $1.2B |
| 2024 | $1.0B | $-73.6M | $936.5M |
| 2025 | $1.1B | $-86.2M | $1.0B |